I've updated my Top 5 fantasy football quarterbacks list. Although I'm no different than most everyone else with my Top 3 choices, I differ wildly from other NFL fantasy football fans with my 4th and 5th quarterback choice.
Just to be clear, not a single one of the players below, not even Terrific Tom Brady, should be chosen before Round 3. The quarterback position is too deep this season. Plus, even the great quarterbacks tend to have big games followed by just okay games.
1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
Rodgers posted MVP like numbers last season. He threw 40 TD passes to only 7 interceptions. He threw for 4,428 yards. He completed 65.7% of his passes. His QB rating ended up at 104.2. Think about that. In his eleventh season in the NFL, Rodgers posted numbers comparable to the 2011-2012 NFL Season, his best ever as a pro.
Rodgers might be better in 2017. The Packers convinced TE Martellus Bennett to head to Green Bay after winning a Super Bowl with the New England Patriots. Adding Bennett to a team that already features converted WR to RB Ty Montgomery and the fantastic Jordy Nelson makes Rodgers to absolute number 1 QB on everyone's list.
2. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
Speaking of the Patriots, I don't always have to put Tom Brady into my Top 5. Okay, that's a lie. I must always put Brady into my Top 5. How good was Terrific Tom last season? He only played in 12 games. He threw 28 TD passes to only 2 interceptions. He managed to throw for 3,554 yards. Terrific Tom's QB rating after the the regular season? 112.4.
Brady got a new weapon in WR Brandin Cooks. Cooks can flat out fly. Malcolm Mitchell came on as a rookie last season. He should take another forward step. Dwayne Allen is one of the more talented tight-ends in the NFL.
With a full 16 game season, Terrific Tom might end up as the highest points player in your fantasy season long league.
3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
Brees had another incredible season. He threw 37 TDs. He threw for 5,208 yards. Brees completed over 70% of his passes. His QB rating ended up at 101. One thing Drew must do this season is get the interceptions down. He threw a ridiculous 15 last season. That's too many interceptions.
New Orleans signed RB Adrian Peterson. They also drafted RB Alvin Kamara. Both players could contribute to an already strong rushing attack. If that happens, Brees' passing stats may not be nearly as impressive this season as it was last season.
That's okay for Brees and the Saints if the team makes the playoffs. It won't be okay for any fantasy football fans that draft Brees too early in their season long leagues.
4. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders
Carr played in 15 regular season games. He threw for 3,937 yards. He completed close to 64% of his passes. He threw 28 TD passes to only 6 interceptions. Carr's QB rating was 96.7.
Carr isn't on anybody else's Top 5. My thinking is that his numbers go up across the board while Matt Ryan's numbers, and Russell Wilson's, go down. This is the year when Derek Carr to Amari Cooper becomes the big QB to WR combination.
The fact that Michael Crabtree still plays in Oakland is more of a reason to like Carr. Don't forget that veteran tight-end Jared Cook is also a Raider. Beast Mode rushing the football should only help Derek Carr's numbers explode in the 2017-2018 NFL Season.
5. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Here's another surprise in my Top 5. I wasn't high on Winston coming out of college. Then, I started listening to what he said on the football field as well as off it. Winston is a smart football player. The biggest knock on Jameis' game was his slow release.
What has Winston done in his 2 years in the NFL? He's worked on his release. This is the third season Jameis is playing in Dirk Koetter's creative offensive system. I think this is the year that Jameis takes a major step forward into the elite category.
Don't forget that not a single one of these quarterbacks is worth drafting before Round 3. You might get away with waiting to draft Jameis Winston and Derek Carr in Round 5 or Round 6. Don't take a QB early. Stock up on starting wide receivers since in most season long fantasy leagues you must play 3 WRs in every game.